Messi’s Next Test Against Rangnick’s Austria

Group J | Monday, June 22, 2026 — 1:00 p.m. ET | AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Watch live: TSN1, TSN+ (English) | RDS (French)

Argentina and Austria arrive in Arlington level on points, but they reached that position in very different ways. Argentina looked polished and overwhelming in their opener, while Austria needed late help to finish off Jordan.

The stakes are straightforward: the winner will be in a strong position to reach the knockout stage, and Argentina could lock up first place with a second straight victory. Austria, meanwhile, can turn a solid return to the World Cup into something much more serious if they can frustrate the defending champions.

Why Argentina still look like the standard

Lionel Messi made the first match of Argentina’s title defense look routine by scoring all three goals in a 3-0 win over Algeria. It was his first World Cup hat trick, and it also moved him level with Miroslav Klose on 16 career World Cup goals.

Messi did more than finish chances. He kept the attack moving, drew defenders, and repeatedly put Argentina into dangerous areas. The rest of Lionel Scaloni’s team matched that intensity, and the defensive side of the performance was just as impressive. Algeria failed to produce a shot on target.

That matters because Argentina are not depending on one player alone. They have balance in midfield, pace and movement up front, and a back line that rarely gets stretched when the team is in control.

  • Messi is one goal away from standing alone atop the World Cup scoring list.
  • Lautaro Martínez gives Argentina a second major threat in the box.
  • Alexis Mac Allister and Enzo Fernández add control and passing range.
  • Rodrigo De Paul helps connect possession to attack and protects space behind Messi.

How Austria can make this uncomfortable

Austria’s opener was more tense than the score suggested. They beat Jordan 3-1, but the match was level for long stretches and only tilted late after substitutes changed the game.

Ralf Rangnick’s side opened the scoring through Romano Schmid, then watched Jordan equalize with a quality finish from Ali Olwan. Austria eventually found the breakthrough through an own goal and then a stoppage-time penalty, with Marko Arnautovic heavily involved after coming off the bench.

The bigger point is that Austria are organized, aggressive, and difficult to play through. Rangnick’s teams usually press with purpose, and this one also carries real attacking quality. Their challenge is whether they can sustain that structure against a team that punishes small mistakes instantly.

  • Pressing is Austria’s main way to disrupt rhythm.
  • Set pieces are a genuine scoring route for them.
  • Arnautovic can change the game late if the match stays close.
  • Marcel Sabitzer remains the midfield creator to watch.

The matchup that decides everything

This is the kind of game where Argentina’s control meets Austria’s discipline. If Argentina settle early, they can force Austria to chase and open space in behind. If Austria keep the first hour tight, they give themselves a real chance to make this messy.

One important detail is Austria’s fitness situation. Several players have been managing injuries or limited training work, and that could matter if the match turns into a run of transitions and repeated defensive recoveries.

Argentina, by contrast, enter with momentum and confidence. They have won their last eight matches and have been hard to beat in World Cup play. Austria have improved under Rangnick, but this is a bigger test than Jordan and a far less forgiving opponent.

There is no meaningful recent competitive history between the sides to lean on. That makes the tactical contrast even more important: Argentina want sustained control and decisive finishing, while Austria need pressure, compact spacing, and enough precision to capitalize on dead-ball moments.

What to expect on the field

Argentina should have more of the ball and more of the chances. Austria will almost certainly press higher than Algeria did, and that should create a faster, more physical game than Argentina’s opener.

The most likely danger for Austria is that they spend too much time defending their own box. If that happens, Messi and the supporting cast will eventually find openings. Still, Austria are good enough to score if they get a clean set piece or a quick transition.

A narrow Argentina win feels more realistic than a blowout. Austria have enough structure to avoid collapse, but Argentina have the cleaner attacking form and the best individual player on the pitch.

Prediction: Argentina 2-1 Austria

Argentina should get the first breakthrough, Austria should make the game competitive, and the defending champions should still find the finishing quality to take all three points. Messi is the most likely difference-maker, and Argentina look well positioned to clinch a place in the knockout rounds.

For Canadian viewers, the match is available on TSN1 and TSN+ at 1:00 p.m. ET, with French coverage on RDS. The game is being played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

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